BANGLADESH’S THIRD NATIONALLY DETERMINED CONTRIBUTION (NDC 3.0)
Abstract
Bangladesh proposes its NDC 3.0 as a global commitment to the Paris Agreement as well as a national plan for low-carbon, climate-resilient development. Base Year Scenario 2022: In 2022, total emissions were 252.04 million tonnes of CO₂ equivalent (MtCO₂eq). Energy was the largest source (123.01 MtCO2eq, 48.81%), mainly from power generation, transport, industry, households, and fugitive emissions. AFOLU followed (95.35 Mt, 37.83%), dominated by livestock and rice cultivation. Waste contributed 26.95 Mt (10.69%), while IPPU accounted for 6.73 Mt (2.67%). Business-as-Usual (BAU) 2035: Emissions are projected to rise sharply to 418.40 MtCO₂eq by 2035 under BAU, driven by population growth, urbanization, industrial expansion, and rising energy demand. Mitigation Targets 2035: In the unconditional scenarios, Bangladesh will achieve a reduction of 26.74 MtCO₂eq, representing a 6.39% decrease from the business-as-usual (BAU) projections for 2035; whereas in the Conditional Scenarios, Bangladesh will ach
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